Jerez vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
5º
31
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 4
JER
28%
25%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JER
3 - 2
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 3
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
JER
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
JER
1 - 0
ARR
42%
27%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
UDF
27%
26%
48%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 0
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
MOR
12%
22%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
TRU
17%
24%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 0
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |