Jerez vs AD Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JER
1 - 1
VAL
80%
15%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
JER
3 - 1
EXT
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AZU
1 - 1
JER
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
JER
2 - 0
CAS
79%
15%
6%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAD
5 - 0
SNV
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CDZ
0 - 1
MAD
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDB
0 - 2
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAD
4 - 1
HER
85%
12%
4%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 2
MAD
11%
21%
68%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |