Jerez vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
35.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
JER
0 - 2
EXT
35%
30%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SEV
3 - 0
JER
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
JER
0 - 0
ALC
49%
28%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CDL
3 - 0
JER
37%
31%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
JER
4 - 2
LOR
28%
31%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
CDB
0 - 2
MEL
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MEL
2 - 3
EXT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ARE
2 - 2
MEL
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 0
SEV
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
TOM
0 - 1
MEL
37%
31%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |