Jerez vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
MLL
1 - 1
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
JER
1 - 1
CIU
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MOT
2 - 1
JER
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
JER
0 - 0
ALG
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
SFE
1 - 4
JER
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 2
CAD
39%
30%
30%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
AGD
2 - 2
MEL
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MEL
1 - 2
ECI
44%
29%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
DHE
3 - 0
MEL
49%
28%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
MEL
2 - 1
GRA
48%
28%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |