Jerez vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
30.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SFE
2 - 0
JER
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
JER
2 - 1
GRA
37%
29%
33%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
BAL
2 - 2
JER
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
XER
1 - 0
JER
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2001 |
JER
1 - 2
POL
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CDL
0 - 1
MEL
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 1
SFE
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 1
MEL
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 1
BAL
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
MEL
1 - 1
XER
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |