Jerez vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
CAD
2 - 0
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
JER
0 - 1
ALG
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 1
JER
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
JER
0 - 0
CCF
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
CPC
2 - 0
JER
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
37%
31%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
ALM
1 - 1
MEL
49%
27%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 2
BET
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
XER
1 - 0
MEL
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
MEL
1 - 0
AGD
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |