Jerez vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 1
JER
49%
28%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
JER
0 - 0
TAL
46%
29%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
CDZ
1 - 1
JER
32%
30%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
JER
1 - 0
CAR
41%
31%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CDB
2 - 1
JER
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LOR
3 - 1
EXT
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SEV
2 - 0
LOR
46%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
LOR
4 - 0
ALC
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CDL
2 - 0
LOR
25%
32%
43%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOR
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |