Jerez vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
JER
3 - 0
PUE
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ARE
4 - 0
JER
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
JER
0 - 0
ARE
56%
26%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CDZ
0 - 0
HER
68%
20%
12%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
CDB
9%
18%
72%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
VIL
9%
20%
72%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CPL
0 - 2
HER
14%
24%
63%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |