Jerez vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 0
JER
63%
22%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
BAD
0 - 0
JER
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
JER
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
JER
2 - 0
PLA
41%
27%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
JER
3 - 2
MOR
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 3
ARR
39%
27%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
EMD
0 - 1
COR
18%
25%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
EMD
1 - 0
CDD
22%
25%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
EMD
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 1
EMD
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |