Jerez vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
JER
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
CDB
33%
30%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ARE
1 - 1
JER
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
JER
0 - 0
TOM
49%
29%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RJA
1 - 1
JER
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 2
EXT
28%
30%
41%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SEV
2 - 0
CDZ
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CDZ
0 - 0
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
CDL
0 - 0
CDZ
46%
28%
26%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CDZ
1 - 0
LOR
29%
29%
41%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |