Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 2-3
Jerez vs Cfba Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CPL
0 - 1
JER
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CFB
3 - 2
JER
67%
20%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
JER
1 - 0
UDS
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ASJ
1 - 2
JER
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CFB
3 - 0
BET
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CFB
3 - 2
JER
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
CFB
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
YEC
0 - 0
CFB
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
ALM
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |