Jerez vs CD Azuaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
5º
62
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ADL
1 - 1
JER
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JER
0 - 0
UCL
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
JER
47%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JER
3 - 0
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
JER
18%
23%
60%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Azuaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
4 - 1
UDF
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MIA
3 - 2
AZU
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 0
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARR
0 - 1
AZU
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
TRU
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |