Jerez vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 1
JER
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
JER
0 - 2
PLA
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
JER
0 - 1
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
EMD
1 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 1
JER
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
EXT
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARR
44%
26%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 1
CAL
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 1
CAL
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MIA
0 - 4
CAL
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |