Jerez vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SNV
1 - 4
JER
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
JER
2 - 1
ARR
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 1
JER
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
JER
1 - 0
UDF
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
JER
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
AZU
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DPC
3 - 4
CAL
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 2
OLI
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
COR
4 - 0
CAL
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
PUE
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |