Jerez vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
JER
23%
26%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JER
1 - 0
DPC
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
JER
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JER
3 - 0
CPL
55%
25%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 3
JER
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
MIA
52%
25%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
MER
31%
26%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 0
MER
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
MOR
62%
23%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |