Jerez vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 1
JER
16%
25%
59%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
JER
1 - 1
ARR
62%
23%
16%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
JER
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
JER
3 - 0
DPC
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UDS
0 - 2
JER
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MER
3 - 0
VIL
74%
18%
9%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
COR
0 - 1
MER
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
CPL
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
MER
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 2
MER
10%
21%
70%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |