Jerez vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
BET
1 - 1
JER
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
JER
2 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
MEL
1 - 1
JER
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
JER
2 - 2
MLL
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CIU
1 - 2
JER
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
MER
1 - 1
CAD
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
AGD
0 - 1
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
MER
0 - 1
ECI
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
DHE
0 - 0
MER
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MER
0 - 1
GRA
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |