Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
JER
2 - 0
MIA
57%
22%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ADL
1 - 1
JER
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
UDF
0 - 1
JER
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
JER
0 - 1
CDD
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CPC
4 - 1
JER
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 0
ARR
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARR
0 - 3
MIA
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ADL
0 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ARR
2 - 0
UDF
61%
21%
19%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CDD
2 - 0
ARR
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |