Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EMD
0 - 0
JER
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 2
JER
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
JER
1 - 2
UDF
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MON
3 - 2
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
JER
2 - 0
PLA
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 0
UDF
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 0
PLA
36%
25%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 3
ARR
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 3
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |