Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PUE
3 - 1
JER
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
JER
1 - 0
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 5
JER
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
JER
4 - 1
AMA
73%
18%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 2
MOR
17%
21%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
ARR
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 4
COR
14%
21%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
ARR
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
EXT
33%
24%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |