Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 1
JER
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
JER
1 - 0
UDF
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
JER
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
JER
4 - 1
VAL
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
JER
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
3 - 2
AZU
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
DPC
0 - 4
ARR
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
OLI
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
ARR
16%
23%
62%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
PUE
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |