Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SRO
2 - 2
JER
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
JER
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
JER
3 - 0
OLI
68%
21%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
3 - 1
JER
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
JER
1 - 0
SRO
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
SPV
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 1
ARR
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
0 - 0
SNV
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 1
ARR
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 0
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |