Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
JER
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
JER
3 - 0
DPC
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UDS
0 - 2
JER
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
JER
3 - 0
MIA
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VAL
0 - 4
JER
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ARR
2 - 0
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
COR
1 - 2
ARR
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ARR
2 - 2
CPL
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
ARR
73%
18%
9%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARR
2 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |