Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
VIL
2 - 0
JER
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
JER
5 - 1
COR
88%
10%
3%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
CDZ
0 - 2
JER
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
JER
10 - 0
MON
84%
12%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 1
JER
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ARR
1 - 2
CPC
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
EST
1 - 5
ARR
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
VIL
3 - 2
ARR
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
ARR
3 - 1
COR
76%
15%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
CDZ
2 - 0
ARR
31%
26%
44%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |