Jerez vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
JER
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JER
1 - 0
EMD
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
TRU
2 - 3
JER
18%
25%
57%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
JER
3 - 0
CDD
78%
16%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
JER
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 3
MOR
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
AMA
24%
24%
53%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
AMA
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
EXT
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |