Jerez vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
JER
5 - 0
VAL
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EXT
2 - 2
JER
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
JER
1 - 1
DBN
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JER
3 - 1
SAM
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AZU
0 - 0
JER
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
AZU
2 - 0
AMA
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
DPC
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
AMA
26%
25%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 0
COR
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 1
AMA
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |