Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 1-2
Jerez vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
JER
4 - 0
PLA
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
JER
26%
26%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
JER
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JER
3 - 0
SNV
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
POZ
5 - 1
ALC
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
3 - 0
ROC
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
JER
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
ALC
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAI
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |