Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-4
Jerez Industrial vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MOT
3 - 0
JER
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
JER
0 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 1
JER
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
AMA
3 - 2
JER
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
JER
0 - 3
CPC
47%
30%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
SDA
2 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
54%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 2
ALC
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 1
JER
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MAN
1 - 1
CAR
55%
27%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACF
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |