Jerez Industrial vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ECI
6 - 2
JER
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SRQ
3 - 1
JER
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
JER
1 - 0
SEV
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
EST
3 - 1
JER
64%
20%
15%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
JER
0 - 1
RJA
21%
28%
51%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 2
CIU
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 1
MEL
30%
28%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |