Jerez Industrial vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
JER
43%
28%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
JER
3 - 0
NUE
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
DHE
0 - 2
JER
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
SOL
64%
21%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 1
JER
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 1
BET
18%
26%
56%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 0
LUC
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 2
VVA
25%
29%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
LUC
40%
27%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ARC
2 - 2
LUC
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |