Jerez Industrial vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ARC
2 - 2
JER
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
JER
1 - 3
AGU
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
COR
0 - 1
JER
41%
27%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
JER
2 - 0
REC
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SJO
1 - 1
JER
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AGU
4 - 1
LUC
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
LUC
3 - 1
REC
62%
23%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
SFE
1 - 2
LUC
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LUC
4 - 2
DHE
24%
29%
47%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +4 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |