Jerez Industrial vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1984 |
CCF
2 - 6
JER
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
JER
7 - 0
RIO
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
BRE
2 - 1
JER
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
JER
2 - 1
ILI
42%
28%
31%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
BET
4 - 0
JER
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1984 |
LUC
0 - 2
POZ
36%
28%
36%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
REC
4 - 1
LUC
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
LUC
0 - 0
AYA
60%
24%
16%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
MOG
3 - 1
LUC
56%
24%
21%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
LUC
0 - 1
MAI
44%
27%
29%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |