Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-5
Jerez Industrial vs RB Linense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
50%
29%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
3 - 2
JER
58%
25%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BAL
3 - 2
JER
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
JER
2 - 1
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
VEL
2 - 0
JER
44%
30%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BAL
3 - 1
IME
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
DBN
1 - 1
BAL
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BAL
3 - 2
JER
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BAL
2 - 1
EXT
63%
24%
13%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
1 - 0
BAL
53%
29%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |