Jerez Industrial vs A. Cerro Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
COR
1 - 2
JER
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
JER
3 - 0
CRD
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
JER
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
JER
1 - 1
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
JER
33%
28%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 1
SAN
40%
24%
35%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
BAL
2 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SOL
1 - 0
NUE
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LUC
2 - 0
SOL
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SOL
0 - 2
VVA
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |