Jerez Industrial vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1977 |
JER
1 - 1
CAR
42%
24%
33%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MOT
3 - 0
JER
51%
22%
28%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
JER
0 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 1
JER
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
AMA
3 - 2
JER
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MAL
0 - 2
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CEU
1 - 0
MAL
82%
14%
3%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAL
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 0
BAL
70%
18%
11%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
MAL
1 - 2
CFC
32%
33%
35%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |