Jerez Industrial vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
50.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 0
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
JER
3 - 1
ECI
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
MIR
3 - 2
JER
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
JER
0 - 1
MIR
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JER
3 - 0
SNF
62%
21%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AGD
2 - 2
ALI
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
AGD
0 - 1
LOR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CIU
0 - 1
AGD
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |