Jerez CF vs Villafranca U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
18º
18º
46
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
JER
2 - 3
CSU
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CPD
2 - 1
JER
62%
18%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
JER
1 - 6
EFE
22%
19%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DBN
4 - 0
JER
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 5
CDD
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
CPD
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
EFE
1 - 3
VIL
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
DBN
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 0
VIL
90%
7%
3%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
UPP
38%
21%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |