Jerez CF vs Emérita Augusta U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
59.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
18º
18º
46
9º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DBN
4 - 0
JER
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 5
CDD
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UPP
5 - 1
JER
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JER
2 - 3
LCV
5%
12%
84%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MER
4 - 0
JER
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EFE
2 - 0
CPD
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EFE
2 - 1
CSU
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DBN
3 - 2
EFE
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EFE
1 - 4
CDD
13%
17%
71%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UPP
2 - 2
EFE
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |