Jerez CF vs Don Benito U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
48.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
18º
18º
54
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
JER
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JER
1 - 4
UPP
16%
17%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LCV
7 - 8
JER
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
JER
1 - 1
MER
8%
13%
79%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
JER
64%
18%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Don Benito U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DBN
2 - 3
CPD
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EFE
1 - 2
DBN
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
CSU
3 - 1
DBN
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DBN
2 - 3
CDD
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UPP
2 - 1
DBN
47%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |