Jerez CF vs CD Castuera U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
52.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
18º
18º
52
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 48 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CPD
2 - 1
JER
62%
18%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
JER
1 - 6
EFE
22%
19%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DBN
4 - 0
JER
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 5
CDD
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UPP
5 - 1
JER
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castuera U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CSU
4 - 4
CAC
26%
22%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CPD
1 - 1
CSU
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSU
2 - 1
FLE
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EFE
2 - 1
CSU
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSU
1 - 0
CDM
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |