Jenbach vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KEM
3 - 0
JEN
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JEN
3 - 1
SCH
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
3 - 2
JEN
76%
16%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
JEN
1 - 2
KUN
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
JEN
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 1
TEL
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
WOR
12%
17%
70%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KEM
1 - 0
WOR
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 0
SCH
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 0
WOR
10%
18%
71%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | -2 |