Jenbach vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SVA
2 - 1
JEN
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
JEN
5 - 0
SVK
55%
22%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
KUN
7 - 1
JEN
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
JEN
0 - 0
SVI
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
JEN
1 - 2
IAC
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
KIR
3 - 0
SVA
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
SVL
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SVK
3 - 0
KIR
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
KIR
2 - 3
KUN
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
KIR
2 - 2
SVI
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |