Jenbach vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
REI
7 - 1
JEN
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
JEN
0 - 2
PUC
15%
24%
62%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
SCH
2 - 1
JEN
42%
25%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
JEN
1 - 4
KUN
17%
23%
60%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
HOH
2 - 0
JEN
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ALT
6 - 0
KIR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
KIR
4 - 1
HAR
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
KIR
3 - 1
KUF
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | +10 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
REI
2 - 2
KIR
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2000 |
KIR
0 - 2
PUC
18%
25%
57%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |