Montenegro Cup Last 16
Global 7-1
Jedinstvo vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jedinstvo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
JED
2 - 0
DEC
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SUT
1 - 0
JED
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
JED
0 - 0
SUT
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
JED
0 - 2
PET
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
PET
3 - 0
JED
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
FKA
2 - 1
PET
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
FKA
0 - 1
BAR
23%
26%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
FKA
1 - 3
BOK
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
FKA
0 - 0
BER
22%
28%
50%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RKO
2 - 6
FKA
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |