Jedinstvo Ub vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
11º
4º
50
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jedinstvo Ub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VRS
0 - 1
JED
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
TKS
2 - 2
JED
55%
26%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
JED
1 - 1
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FKZ
0 - 0
JED
60%
24%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
JED
0 - 2
ZEL
16%
28%
56%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
TKS
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRA
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 1
FKZ
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 3
GRA
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |