JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
2º
1º
16
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
GRO
46%
23%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
ALB
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 2
ALB
14%
22%
64%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALB
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
KFV
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 3
SMI
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 4
SUP
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
OUD
72%
15%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
SMI
57%
20%
24%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |