JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
2º
1º
7
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
8 - 1
RFA
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 2
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 1
SMI
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 2
GRO
46%
23%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
ALB
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
RIG
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SMI
5 - 1
RIG
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
FKB
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 14 | 58 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
23%
22%
55%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |