JDFS Alberts vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
2º
1º
8
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 46 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 45 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 43 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 25 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 24 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
78.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 4
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 1
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
4 - 0
RIG
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
8 - 1
RFA
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SMI
4 - 2
PRA
30%
22%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 5
FKB
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 1
TUK
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
8 - 1
PRA
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -3 |