JDFS Alberts vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
4º
3º
30
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 1
TUK
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
RIG
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 2
ALB
18%
22%
61%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 7
ALB
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
SKA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 2
SKA
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PRA
2 - 0
KFV
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
KFV
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
SUP
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 2
KFV
26%
22%
53%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |