JDFS Alberts vs Augšdaugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
2º
1º
6
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 2
ALB
25%
25%
51%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SKA
1 - 2
ALB
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ALB
2 - 2
OUD
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ALB
5 - 3
SMI
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
KFV
1 - 1
ALB
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 0
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SMI
5 - 0
AUG
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
AUG
4 - 1
PRA
8%
12%
80%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | +8 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
PRA
3 - 1
AUG
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AUG
1 - 5
FKB
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |